Stop Spewing Mobile Wallet BS

If I’ve learned anything about doing consumer research it’s this: You can’t ask consumers their opinions about things that they don’t know.

So, feel free to publicize your research about which mobile wallets are most popular with consumers, if you want, but I’m not buying any of it.

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comScore recently conducted a study regarding consumers’ awareness of mobile wallets and found the following (chart pulled from a Venture Beat article):

According to the study, nearly half of all consumers (assuming the study was a study of all consumers) have used PayPal’s digital wallet. That would mean that pretty much everybody in the US who owns a smartphone has used PayPal’s digital wallet.

I can hear the PayPal people laughing at that all the way here on the other side of the continent.

I find it funny, too, because, until recently, PayPal didn’t even have a digital wallet. According to articles published last March, May 2012 was the expected launch date for the Paypal digital wallet. (p.s. I can’t find any articles that confirm that it was launched last May).

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Well, hold on a second here. Maybe our terminology isn’t accurate.

Maybe Paypal has a digital wallet, but not a mobile wallet. Yes, that must be it.

But if that’s the case, then Amazon’s one-click buying should be considered a digital wallet, too. And since you can make P2P transactions from many banks’ online banking platforms, that’s kind of a digital wallet, too, no? But comScore didn’t ask about the awareness of either of those wallets.

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If you’re confused about the difference between a digital and mobile wallet, or what a mobile wallet exactly is, welcome to the club. According to the Venture Beat article (citing the comScore study), less than half of the respondents really understand what a digital wallet is.

But, if that’s the case, then I have a question for Venture Beat: Why would you title the article “PayPal destroys Google Wallet, MasterCard, Square, and Visa in digital wallet study”?

Total BS. The comScore compared apples to vaporfruit, and VB — which acknowledged the consumer confusion — runs with a bogus headline.

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Let’s take a look at some of the other numbers.

According to the comScore study, 1% of respondents use (or have used) the Lemon Wallet and 2% use LevelUp.

The companies, themselves, report quite different numbers.

A Mobile Commerce Today article from December 2012 stated that LevelUp had reached the 500k user mark. Meanwhile, a Bank Systems & Technology article from November 2012 said that Lemon Wallet had 2.5 million users. 

My calculator says the number of Lemon Wallet users are 5 times the number of LevelUp users. Yet the comScore study reports that LevelUp’s market penetration is double that of Lemon’s.

Maybe my calculator is broken.

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What should we make of all this?

Simply, that the mobile wallet space is one messy pile of you-know-what at the moment, and that any claim about who’s winning or losing is: 1) bogus, and 2) the work of a fool.

What Consumers Really Want From P2P Payments

BAI Retail Delivery’s P2P (person-to-person) payments panel — consisting of PayPal’s Arkady Fridman, Fiserv’s Sanjeev Dheer, and ClearXchange’s John Feldman — produced some interesting perspectives on the state of the P2P payments union.  The critical question: Do consumers want a bank-centric P2P solution?

According to CU Times:

“Dheer and Feldman unsurprisingly thought so. Fridman unsurprisingly thought not – “they want a customer-centric solution,” he said. Dheer added, “They see this as a core banking function.” Fridman countered …“What does a bank centric solution mean? Feldman noted that “the banks have a strong view that this has to be bank centric.”

My take: Consumers don’t want an “anything”-centric solution.

“Centric” isn’t even a real word, let alone one that enters into the minds of consumers. What consumers want is very simple: Stuff that works, when and where they want it, at a reasonable price, and from a provider they can trust.

As it applies to P2P payments, consumers do not have a preference for one type (bank or non-bank) of provider over another.

Relative to non-banks, banks have some potential advantages: An existing relationship, and a platform (i.e., mobile banking) for providing P2P services to consumers.

But, for the most part, banks overestimate the advantage they have in being the P2P payment provider of choice. Why? Because bank interactions predominantly occur in a branch, a call center, an ATM, or the online banking platform. P2P transactions — transactions between two or more non-business entities — occur predominantly everywhere but those four touchpoints.

Mobile banking (and, ultimately, payments) will help banks create an “anywhere” touchpoint to provide P2P convenience, but, as we speak, mobile banking adoption is still relatively low.

And that opens the door for non-bank providers like PayPal, as well as plenty of other potential providers of P2P payment services.

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Arguing whether or not consumers want a bank-centric solution or a something-else-centric solution misses another important aspect to this potential market: If the marketing of the service isn’t effective, it doesn’t matter if consumers want a bank-centric solution or not.

Mr. Dheer said he was “taken aback by the breadth of what people are using this for.” Perhaps. But, in practice, there are some uses that account for a lot higher percentage of electronic P2P transactions than others. Splitting restaurant bills, other bills (e..g., rent) and providing financial support, for example.

But banks, to date, have marketed electronic P2P services as….well, electronic P2P services. Their marketing hasn’t been use case specific. And that has opened the door for non-bank providers who focus on a narrow range of use cases.

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Another problem: Contrary to what the digerati might believe, electronic P2P transactions aren’t clearing the convenience and reasonable price bars. Among consumers that don’t make electronic P2P transactions, about half say that cash is more convenient, and half also mention that they don’t want to pay a fee. Even among consumers who have made electronic P2P transactions, in the instances when they make a non-electronic P2P payment, many cite the convenience of cash, or the avoidance of a fee.

Source: Aite Group survey of 1,115 consumers, Q2 2012

What catches my attention in the chart above is the high awareness that consumers of alternatives to making P2P transactions using something other than cash or checks. So the challenge for the industry is not awareness, but driving utilization, and demonstrating value.

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Bottom line: So what do consumers really want regarding P2P payments? The best solution. Not a bank-centric, not a non-bank-centric, not an anything-centric solution. So far, cash is winning.